Bills vs Patriots Week 11 MNF Pick

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Coming off its toughest result of the season and looking forward to its likely toughest remaining game on the regular season schedule, the Bills-Patriots Monday Night Football game could be a dangerous "sandwich" game in New England's quest for a perfect regular season.


ESPN will nationally televise the Bills-Patriots game from Foxboro at 8:30 p.m. Eastern Monday.


New England will enter the Bills-Patriots MNF game at 9-0, more than halfway to what would be a second perfect regular season for the Patriots in a 9-year span. Only four teams in NFL history have finished the regular season undefeated and untied, including the 16-0 2007 Patriots.


New England just kept its undefeated season alive last week, kicking a field goal with 1 second left to nip the Giants, 27-26. After the Bills-Patriots game, New England will travel to Denver for a Sunday Night Football game, which, on paper, appears to be the toughest test remaining for the Patriots, perhaps save for back to back road trips to close the regular season at the Jets and Dolphins.


Even though it could be tempting to overlook the Bills this Monday, the Patriots probably won't do so, knowing how close Buffalo played them in September. New England won the first Bills-Patriots match this season, 40-32, at Buffalo. Tom Brady shredded the Buffalo defense, throwing for 466 yards and three scores. Tyrod Taylor had an up and down day in his first start against the Patriots, rushing for a touchdown and throwing for three more, but he also had three interceptions, including one in the final minute when the Bills were seeking the tying score.


Buffalo will carry a 5-4 record and the momentum from back to back AFC East Division wins into the Bills-Patriots game. LeSean McCoy had two straight 100-yard rushing games, his first two such performances of the season, as Buffalo defeated Miami, 33-17, and the Jets, 22-17. Taylor threw for less than 200 yards in both of those games, but the Bills are 4-0 when Taylor starts a game this season and throws for less than 200 yards. They're 1-2 when he starts and throws for more than 200 yards.


As it has with most teams of late, New England had dominated the Bills-Patriots series in the past dozen years, winning 22 of the 24 games. Buffalo did win its trip to New England last season, 17-9, late in the season when the Patriots were resting starters in anticipation of the playoffs. That was the first win for the Bills at New England since 2000. New England leads the all-time Bills-Patriots series, 68-42-1.