Navy at Houston NCAAF Expert Pick

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DATE – Friday Nov. 27

TIME – Noon Eastern

TV – ABC

 

LAST MEETING

12/14/80 – Houston 35, Navy 0 (Garden State Bowl)

 

NAVY LAST 5 ATS

W Navy (-12.5) 44, at Tulsa 21 (O 64.5)

W at Navy (-20) 55, SMU 14 (O 59.5)

W Navy 45, at Memphis (-10) 20 (O 62.5)

W at Navy (-6) 29, South Florida 17 (U 51)

L at Navy (-25.5) 31, Tulane 14 (U 56.5)

*Navy is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games

*Overs are 3-0 in last 3 Navy games

*Navy is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 road games

 

HOUSTON LAST 5 ATS

L at Connecticut 20, Houston (-7.5) 17 (U 50)

L at Houston (-4.5) 35, Memphis 34 (U 69.5)

L at Houston (-9) 33, Cincinnati 30 (U 70.5)

W at Houston (-11) 34, Vanderbilt 0 (U 49.5)

W Houston (-21) 59, at Central Florida 10 (O 53)

*Houston is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games

*Houston is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games as an betting underdog

*Unders are 6-2 in last 8 Houston games

 

 

Even though Navy and Houston both have lost only once this season, the two teams seem to be heading in opposite directions in terms of momentum leading into their meeting Friday.

 

The Midshipmen will carry a 9-1 record and five consecutive blowout wins into Friday's Navy-Houston game, which is set for a noon Eastern kickoff from Houston on ABC. Navy has won all five of those games by double digits. And included in the streak is a 45-20 road win against then-#13 Memphis. It's the first time Navy has reached 9-1 since 1963.

 

And while the Cougars rolled to a 10-0 start this season, they have struggled a bit in November with wins of 3 points and 1 point, after the Cougars won seven of their first eight games by at least 14 points. Those recent struggles caught up to them last Saturday in a 20-17 loss at Connecticut, sapping their momentum entering the Navy-Houston game.

 

Despite the recent struggles, Houston will still carry a seven-game home winning streak over two seasons into the Navy-Houston contest. The Cougars have scored at least 33 points in each of those seven games. Navy, meanwhile, has won seven of its last nine true road games over the past two-plus seasons. And the Midshipmen have won 11 of their past 14 games away from home (including neutral site games) over the past two-plus seasons.

 

The Midshipmen have scored at least 24 points in every game this season, and they've surpassed the 38-point mark 10 times in their past 17 games over two seasons. Defense has carried Navy this season though, as it has allowed more than 21 points only once in 2015.

 

The only loss for the Midshipmen this season came in mid-October at current Top 5-ranked Notre Dame, 41-24. And Navy has an impressive 33-11 win against Air Force, which has clinched a divisional title in the Mountain West Conference.

 

The winner of the Navy-Houston game will also clinch a divisional title. The Midshipmen lead the American Athletic Conference West Division at 7-0, while Houston is 6-1 in league play. Temple or South Florida will represent the East Division in the first-ever American Athletic Championship Game. The Midshipmen joined the American Athletic Conference this season, and they're making the most of it.

 

Navy and Houston have a few common opponents this season. The Cougars won at home against Memphis, 35-34, while Navy won at Memphis, 45-20. Navy topped UConn, 28-18, while the Cougars lost to Connecticut last week, 20-17.

 

Navy and Houston have only played once in history, with the Cougars winning 35-0 in the 1980 Garden State Bowl.