Welcome to Play By Plays expert nba handicappers page where we explain the different factors to take into account when handicapping basketball selections to win in the nba.
NBA Handicapping Trends: With such a long regular season, finding trends for developing an NBA handicapping system seems like it should be an easy process. However, so many factors can affect an NBA game that you have to be cautious and thorough in finding trends that will work for you.
As NBA teams play teams from their conference three or four times per year, it might be tempting to base a handicapping system on head-to-head results from earlier in the season. However, many things can cause an NBA team to change over a period of weeks, such as trades, injuries, and coaching changes. It's tough to rely on results from two months in the past when trying to handicap tonight's rematch.
Sometimes, historical results can yield some helpful trends. For example, one team may have a great defensive scheme or player who can shut down a specific team's star player. Some teams play much better at home than on the road. Some systems look at NBA teams collectively, such as how teams play on the second night of back-to-back games when they win the first game or when they have to travel for the second game. Some nba handicappers rely on referee assignments when studying games. Some officials may have a history of making a series of tough calls against a certain team, player, or coach. Other referees might not call many fouls, which may benefit a certain team. Some officials may call a lot of fouls, leading to a lot of free throws, and a high number of points for the total line.