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2009 nba finals picks

Lakers vs Magic Pick and Preview

NBA Finals - Los Angeles Lakers (77-23) Vs. Orlando Magic (71-30)

Kobe versus Dwight might not have the same ring to it, but Orlando Magic fans will have no problem being the substitute performer on the NBA's biggest stage.

The Los Angeles Lakers and Orlando Magic will begin play in the 2009 NBA Finals on ABC, Thursday in Los Angeles at Staples Center.

The 2009 NBA Finals will not provide NBA fans with the expected superstar matchup of Kobe versus LeBron. Those fans unhappy that the projected Los Angeles-Cleveland pairing won't happen, however, may be surprised at the talent of Orlando's Dwight Howard. Howard had a playoff-career-high 40 points to help the Magic eliminate Cleveland and LeBron James, setting up the Lakers-Magic 2009 NBA Finals pairing.

Season Results - Orlando won both season meetings with Los Angeles this season, despite being a slight underdog in both Lakers-Magic games.

On Dec. 20, the Lakers were favored by 1.5 points, but they lost 106-103 at Orlando. Now-injured Jameer Nelson had 27 points to lead the Magic, while Howard added 12 rebounds. Howard, who sometimes struggles from the free-throw line, made 8 of 11 foul shots in the fourth quarter to ice the win. Kobe Bryant had a then-season-high 41 points, but it wasn't enough for the Lakers, who made only 41.4% of their field goals. Orlando hit 48.6% of its shots.

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On Jan. 16, Orlando traveled to Los Angeles and won 109-103. Nelson again led the Magic, this time with 28 points, while Howard had 20 rebounds to go with 25 points. The Lakers led the Magic by 1 point entering the fourth quarter, but Orlando took control late. Bryant had 28 points, 13 rebounds, and 11 assists for the Lakers. Again, the Lakers struggled from the field, making only 39.8% of their field goal attempts. Orlando, which won outright as a 4.5-point underdog, made 44.6% of its shots.

In the two Lakers-Magic meetings, Orlando outrebounded Los Angeles, 94-80.

Lakers - After a 65-17 regular season, the Lakers are 12-6 in the playoffs. Los Angeles eliminated Utah, 4-1, in round one. Houston pushed the Lakers to a seventh game in round two, but the Lakers recorded a lopsided victory in the deciding game, winning the series, 4-3. Denver gave the Lakers a scare in the Western Conference final, but the Lakers won the series, 4-2, blowing out the Nuggets in the final two games.

Including the playoffs, the Lakers have lost only seven games at home. Los Angeles is 44-7 in Staples Center this season.

Unlike Orlando, Los Angeles has been a heavy favorite to reach the 2009 NBA Finals since posting the best record in the NBA's Western Conference this season. It's not a surprise that Bryant has led the Lakers in scoring in 15 of 18 playoff games and in 63 of 82 regular-season games. Pau Gasol has had a strong series of performances in the playoffs, too, averaging 18.2 points and 11.3 rebounds in the post-season.

ATS in the playoffs, the Lakers are 9-9. They've split their last 10 games ATS, and the Lakers have been favored in 15 of their 18 playoff games. For Thursday's opening game of the 2009 NBA Finals, the Lakers are an early 6-point favorite over the Magic.

Magic - Orlando has a 12-7 record in the NBA playoffs so far. At one point in the opening round, Orlando trailed Philadelphia 2-games-to-1, but the Magic rallied to eliminate Philadelphia, 4-2. The Magic then ousted defending NBA champion Boston, 4-games-to-3, impressively winning Game 7 on the road. In the Orlando-Cleveland series, the Magic were undefeated at home, eliminating the Cavaliers, 4-games-to-2.

The Orlando Magic entered the NBA playoffs as the #3 seed in the Eastern Conference. Orlando was the forgotten team in the East, as Cleveland had claimed the #1 seed in a dominating regular-season run, and defending champion Boston was the #2 seed. However, the Magic eliminated both teams en route to the 2009 NBA Finals.

Magic fans might be wondering how good their team could be with Nelson, who suffered a season-ending injury just before the All-Star Break. Nelson was leading Orlando in assists and was fourth in scoring at the time of the injury. The Magic were 36-10 before Nelson's injury, but, including the playoffs, they are 35-20 without him.

ATS in the playoffs, Orlando lost its first four games. However, the Magic have been hot ATS of late, winning seven of their last eight.



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